Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001163 1.309995e-03 0.001459 0.001620 0.001788 0.001959 0.002145
2025-04-06 0.000896 1.124683e-03 0.001366 0.001637 0.001930 0.002236 0.002577
2025-04-13 0.000676 9.640632e-04 0.001284 0.001656 0.002072 0.002516 0.003021
2025-04-20 0.000469 7.907378e-04 0.001169 0.001629 0.002157 0.002735 0.003404
2025-04-27 0.000307 6.419909e-04 0.001065 0.001601 0.002236 0.002944 0.003777
2025-05-04 0.000218 5.680505e-04 0.001041 0.001662 0.002413 0.003264 0.004275
2025-05-11 0.000134 4.793945e-04 0.000987 0.001678 0.002534 0.003517 0.004699
2025-05-18 0.000050 3.493217e-04 0.000857 0.001588 0.002521 0.003611 0.004937
2025-05-25 0.000010 2.629818e-04 0.000774 0.001548 0.002561 0.003762 0.005239
2025-06-01 NaN 1.920736e-04 0.000699 0.001511 0.002599 0.003908 0.005532
2025-06-08 NaN 1.445448e-04 0.000651 0.001505 0.002674 0.004096 0.005871
2025-06-15 NaN 1.243148e-04 0.000649 0.001563 0.002829 0.004379 0.006321
2025-06-22 NaN 9.129884e-05 0.000618 0.001584 0.002948 0.004631 0.006754
2025-06-29 NaN 6.198153e-05 0.000585 0.001602 0.003063 0.004884 0.007192
2025-07-06 NaN 3.859918e-05 0.000554 0.001621 0.003181 0.005143 0.007641
2025-07-13 NaN 1.495508e-05 0.000498 0.001593 0.003235 0.005322 0.007996
2025-07-20 NaN 2.097626e-06 0.000446 0.001566 0.003287 0.005497 0.008346
2025-07-27 NaN 1.292257e-07 0.000444 0.001626 0.003460 0.005825 0.008882
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000420 0.001642 0.003570 0.006073 0.009319
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000343 0.001553 0.003526 0.006123 0.009515
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000297 0.001514 0.003550 0.006256 0.009811
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000255 0.001476 0.003575 0.006389 0.010104
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000230 0.001471 0.003645 0.006580 0.010468